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giovedì 19 marzo 2020

Bitcoin Lacks Momentum And A Break Below $5K Could Be Trend Defining

Bitcoin is struggling to gain momentum above $5,500 resistance against the US Dollar. If BTC price breaks the $5,000 support, it could start a major decline in the near term.
  • Bitcoin is currently trading in a range between $5,000 and $5,500 against the US Dollar.
  • A break below the $5,000 support could set the stage for a fresh decline.
  • There is a key ascending channel forming with support near $5,100 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
  • The pair could gain bullish momentum if there is a clear break above $5,500 and $5,600.

Bitcoin Stuck In a Range

After a close above the $5,000 pivot level, bitcoin extended its rise against the US Dollar. BTC price traded above the $5,400 resistance and the 100 hourly simple moving average.
However, the price faced a strong selling interest above the $5,500 level. The bulls made a couple of attempts to gain pace above $5,500 and $5,600, but they failed. The last high was near $5,568 and the price is currently correcting lower.
It traded below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $4,326 low to $5,568 high. The price even spiked below the $5,100 level and the 100 hourly simple moving average.
On the downside, the $5,000 area is acting as a strong support. The 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $4,326 low to $5,568 high is also near the $4,947 level to provide support.
There is also a key ascending channel forming with support near $5,100 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. Therefore, a downside break below the channel support and the $5,000 support area could start a strong decrease.
Bitcoin Price
Bitcoin Price
The next support is near the $4,800 level, below which the price may perhaps continue to move down towards the $4,600 and $4,500 levels.

Upside Break?

If bitcoin climbs higher above the $5,500 resistance and the channel upper trend line, the bulls could gain control. The next resistance is near the $5,600 level, above which the bulls are likely to aim a test of the $6,000 resistance in the near term.
The overall structure is slightly negative, but a break below the $5,000 support could put a lot of pressure on the bulls.
Technical indicators:
Hourly MACD – The MACD is about to move into the bearish zone.
Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is currently just above the 50 level.
Major Support Levels – $5,100 followed by $5,000.
Major Resistance Levels – $5,500, $5,600 and $6,000.
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Aayush Jindal
Aayush is a Senior Forex, Cryptocurrencies and Financial Market Strategist with a background in IT and financial markets. He specialises in market strategies and technical analysis, and has spent over a DECADE as a financial...

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