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venerdì 5 giugno 2020

U.S. Stocks Dull Bitcoin Appeal on Optimistic Jobs Report

  • Spot bitcoin fell was down 1.32 percent at $9,659 per token ahead of the New York opening bell Friday.
  • Bitcoin futures slid 1.82 percent to $9,715.
  • The move downhill appeared as the U.S. futures headed higher following jobs report at 0830 ET.
Bitcoin prices eased ahead of hugely awaited U.S. jobs report on Friday as investors pinned their hopes on economic recovery.
The spot bitcoin rate fell 1.32 percent to $9,659 per token, while CME futures linked to the Bitcoin market were down 1.89 percent at $9,715. In contrast, the U.S. futures were trading higher, with the benchmark S&P 500 hinting to open Friday 1.48 percent up.
Bitcoin prices were under pressure after crashing from $10,428 to as low as $9,270 earlier this week. While the benchmark cryptocurrency managed a rebound above $9,500, a crucial resistance level that flipped to support, its recourse weakened near $9,700. That left traders in a choppy price range.
bitcoin, cryptocurrency, btcusd, xbtusd, btcusdt
BTCUSD in near-term bias conflict | Source: TradingView.com, Coinbase
The profit-taking near $9,700 led bitcoin to correct lower, leaving behind its uncanny positive correlation with the S&P 500. More so, the cryptocurrency fell in tandem with Gold, its safe-haven rival, which also plunged amid investors’ higher appetite for riskier assets.

Strong Jobs Report

The jobs report, released by the Labor Departement minutes before the time of this writing, showed that the labor market added 2.5 million jobs in April. The figures defied expectations of a loss of 8.3 million jobs, according to a survey conducted by the Wall Street Journal.
Meanwhile, the report also noted a fall in the number of jobless claims. They plunged by 13 percent instead of the expected 20 percent. Overall, the job data showed that the U.S. economy is recovering from the aftermath of an overlong lockdown caused by a fast-spreading pandemic.
Thushka Maharaj of J.P. Morgan Asset Management noted that investors are watching China’s market recovery as their fractal for a similar recovery in the U.S. She said that March and April’s jobless data came from sectors that employ temporary workers.
“Re-employing in these sectors does happen organically and you would expect that as reopening happens in earnest some of these jobs will come back,” she told WSJ.

Bitcoin Bullish Bias Intact

Prospects of a faster economic recovery pushed the S&P 500 higher, which decoupled the U.S. benchmark from Bitcoin.
Nevertheless, bitcoin seems to be heading higher in the coming sessions, as the U.S. dollar weakens, trade tensions between the U.S. and China persist, and fears about the second wave of infections remain. The European Central Bank has also raised bitcoin’s bullish bias by announcing a year-long quantitative easing policy.
Investors are also watching the Fed’s two-day policy meeting next week, expecting that the central bank would introduce more stimulus while keeping the benchmark rates near zero.

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Yashu Gola
Yashu Gola is a Mumbai-based finance journalist. He is profoundly active in the bitcoin space since 2014 – and has contributed to several cryptocurrency media outlets, including NewsBTC, FxDailyReport, Bitcoinist, and CCN...

Binance’s Bitcoin Mining Pool is Now The 11th Largest in The World

Binance Pool has become the 11th largest Bitcoin mining pool in the world, according to data from BTC.com. The exchange’s CEO Changpeng Zhao shared the news earlier today, using older data that showed Binance Pool ranked 8th with 4.23% of the total hashrate. 

Binance Pool Sees Slow and Steady Growth in Hashrate

Binance, one of the largest and fastest-growing cryptocurrency exchanges in the world, has seen its Bitcoin mining pool grow slowly and steadily. Launched at the end of April, the Binance Pool was initially met with skepticism, as many members of the crypto community criticized the company for aiding the further centralization of Bitcoin mining.
However, the pool launched with solid performance, ranking 11th in the world in its first week of existence. It made up for 2.91% of the total hashrate and mined a total of 116 blocks. 
Chart showing the mining pool hashrate distribution in the past 30 days
Chart showing the mining pool hashrate distribution in the past 30 days. (Source: BTC.com)
As of Jun. 5, the hashrate from the Binance Pool represents 3.68% of the total hashrate on the Bitcoin network. The exchange’s mining pool, which aimed to attract miners from Huobi and OKEx’s pools, has recorded a hashrate of 3.96 EH/s in the past 24 hours. 
Table showing Bitcoin mining pools ranked by hashrate
Table showing Bitcoin mining pools ranked by hashrate. (Source: BTC.com)

CEO Claimed Binance’s Pool Ranks 8th in The World

The news about the growth Binance’s mining pool has shown was first shared by the exchange’s founder and CEO, Changpeng Zhao. Zhao, however, seems to have used an older set of data, as his announcement showed that Binance Pool was the 8th largest mining pool by hashrate in the world.
“A month later, Binance mining pool is ranked 8th in the world now,” Zhao tweeted earlier today celebrating the company’s success.
The screengrab he shared from btc.com showed that Binance Pool was responsible for a 4.23% share of Bitcoin’s total network hashrate and has mined 19 blocks. There is no information about the time reference for the data in the image.
With most of the crypto community still worried about companies such as Binance acquiring too much power over the supposedly “decentralized” crypto market, we are yet to see how the company’s performance will stand in the long-run. 
Screengrab of mining pool ranking shared by Changpeng Zhao
Screengrab of mining pool ranking shared by Changpeng Zhao. (Source: Twitter).  
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Priyeshu Garg
Priyeshu is a software engineer who is passionate about machine learning and blockchain technology. He built his first digital marketing startup as a teenager and worked with multiple Fortune 500 companies. He's an alumnus from...

Bankitalia: "Pil -9,2% nel 2020, graduale ripresa nel prossimo biennio"

Bankitalia: "Pil -9,2% nel 2020, graduale ripresa nel prossimo biennio"
Secondo le stime della Banca d'Italia nelle sue 'Proiezioni macroeconomiche per l'economia italiana', in uno scenario di base incluso nella baseline delle proiezioni per l'area euro pubblicate ieri dalla Bce, la contrazione del Pil in Italia sarà pari a -9,2% nella media di quest’anno, seguita da una graduale ripresa nel prossimo biennio: +4,8% nel 2021 e +2,5% nel 2022. All’andamento nell’anno in corso contribuirebbe, oltre alla caduta della domanda estera e dei flussi turistici internazionali, il decremento della domanda interna, in seguito alla sospensione di alcune attività economiche per il contenimento del contagio e alle ripercussioni della crisi epidemica sull’occupazione e sui redditi delle famiglie.  
La ripresa del Pil, evidenzia ancora la Banca d'Italia nelle sue proiezioni, partirà dal secondo semestre di quest’anno e sarebbe in larga parte attribuibile al graduale venir meno degli effetti connessi con le misure di contenimento. Le ripercussioni della contrazione della domanda estera e dei flussi turistici e quelle derivanti da comportamenti più cauti di famiglie e imprese avrebbero invece effetti più persistenti, rallentando il ritorno dell’attività produttiva verso i livelli pre-crisi. 
Nelle proiezioni sullo scenario di base, ricorda Bankitalia, si ipotizza che la domanda estera per i beni prodotti nel nostro paese si riduca del 13,5% nel 2020 e torni a espandersi nel prossimo biennio. Ulteriori ripercussioni sull’attività economica derivano dalla caduta dei flussi turistici internazionali. I profili dei tassi di interesse e del prezzo del greggio sono quelli impliciti nelle quotazioni dei mercati nelle dieci giornate lavorative terminanti il 18 maggio. Sottostante a questo scenario vi è l’ipotesi che la diffusione della pandemia rimanga sotto controllo a livello globale e in Italia e che pertanto prosegua la graduale rimozione delle misure di contenimento del contagio e l’attenuazione delle loro ripercussioni economiche. 
In un secondo scenario definito "più severo", la Banca d'Italia ipotizza in particolare una caduta della domanda estera più marcata di quella dello scenario di base nell’anno in corso (20%) e una ripresa più graduale nel prossimo biennio, sia del commercio mondiale sia dei flussi turistici; l’emergere di nuovi focolai dell’epidemia che comporterebbero l’adozione di nuove misure di sospensione delle attività economiche per una quota pari a circa il 5% del valore aggiunto per 4 settimane nei mesi estivi e circa il 15% per 6 settimane tra la fine del 2020 e l’inizio del 2021; un aumento dei rendimenti a lungo termine di circa 50 punti base e un irrigidimento delle condizioni del credito pari a circa la metà di quanto osservato durante la crisi finanziaria globale. Queste ipotesi avrebbero effetti aggiuntivi sul Pil nell’anno in corso rispettivamente di -1,5, -1,3 e -1,2 punti percentuali. In base a questo scenario più pessimistico, il Pil di circa il 13% quest’anno e recupererebbe a ritmi più moderati nel 2021 (+3,5%) e poi +2,7% nel 2022. 
Le misure della politica di bilancio di sostegno diretto alla domanda, incluse nei decreti legge 'Cura Italia' e 'Rilancio', fornirebbero un "contributo significativo" nel mitigare la contrazione del Pil nell’anno in corso, valutabile secondo i moltiplicatori tradizionali in oltre 2 punti percentuali, sottolinea Bankitalia. Alcune misure come la moratoria sul credito e le garanzie sui nuovi prestiti, evidenziano da via Nazionale, "sarebbero inoltre essenziali a scongiurare il materializzarsi di possibili effetti non lineari associati a gravi conseguenze finanziarie, evitando una crisi di liquidità, mantenendo aperte le linee di credito delle imprese e soddisfacendo il fabbisogno di fondi indotto dalla crisi". 
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